World Events in Prophecy: (DebkaFile) NEWSDAY Friday 3 ELUL 5771 -September 2 2011-


Sat September 3, 2011
Breaking News
 UN report finds Israel's Gaza blockade and sea flotilla interception legal, soldiers' response to violence "excessive" • Turkey could have done more to keep violent IHH extremiss off the Mavi Marmara • Israel rejects Ankara's ultimatum to apologize for nine Marmara deaths or face sanctions • Its offer of regret for deaths amid legitimate self-defense was rejected by Ankara • Qaddafi tells his supporters to prepare for a long guerrilla war • He spoke in new audio message broadcast on Syrian-based pro-Qaddafi channel based • He calls his home town of Sirte capital of the resistance Thursday, NATO bombed 24 targets Thursday in Sirte, Bani Walid and Waddan • Sarkozy and Cameron gathered world leaders in Paris Thursday to map out Libya's future • Their talks also ranged over the disposition of Libyan oil • Anti-Israel demonstrators disrupt live BBC prom concert in London conducted by Zubin Mehtan • Many members of the audience booed them back, but the live broadcast was interrupted twice • 
DEBKAfile Exclusive Analysis September 2, 2011, 3:22 PM (GMT+02:00)
Tags:  Turkey   Israel   flotilla   UN   US   Gaza blockade 
Turkish PM Tayyip Erdogan on an anti-Israel vendetta


For two years, Turkey has tirelessly maligned Israel, aided its enemies and schemed to destroy its army's strategic value as a key American ally. This campaign hit a serious contretemps in the UN report out Friday, Sept. 2 which justified Israel's Gaza blockade and its navy's interception of a Turkish vessel bent on breaching that blockade, although Israel was assailed for its "excessive response" to the violence of Turkish extremists.  Ankara thereupon expelled the Israeli ambassador and suspended its military accords with Israel.


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Who Will Control Libya's Oil? 
NATO backers handed oil stakes. But the US will profit most. 
Two CIA Agents Doomed Tripoli 
Qaddafi confidant Mahmud Bin Juma'a nixed resistance to the rebel charge. 
Egypt's pro-Islamic Swing Shocks US 
The Muslim Brotherhood and Salafis can count on two-thirds of the Egyptian vote. 


US confirms al Qaeda members' role in rebel command. Qaddafi contacts them 
DEBKAfile Special Report
September 1, 2011, 12:47 PM (GMT+02:00)
Tags:  Libya   Muammar Qaddafi   Al Qaeda   US   NATO 
From Qaddafi's intelligence files


On Wednesday, Aug. 31, the Obama administration admitted that former al Qaeda extremists who fought US forces in Iraq and Afghanistan were part of the rebel push to capture Tripoli. Further highlighting Al Qaeda's importance, Muammar Qaddafi instructed his son Saadi to contact self-styled Tripoli commander Abd Al-Hakim Belhadj, one of the a/m extremists, to discuss ways of ending the war. Qaddafi would have to follow in the West's footsteps and work with al Qaeda supporters if he plans guerrilla warfare against the rebels, the US and NATO.


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No Egyptian crackdown on Sinai terrorists. Jihad keeps Israel in suspense
DEBKAfile Special Report
August 31, 2011, 9:03 AM (GMT+02:00)
Egypt's tanks stand idle against terrorists


The Cairo media's highly colored accounts Monday, Aug. 30 of 1,500 Egyptian commandos and tanks supposedly raiding Jihad Islami and al Qaeda cells in Sinai are pure fiction, DEBKAfile's military sources confirm. Israeli forces along the Gazan and Egyptian borders down to Eilat stand at the highest level of preparedness for a Jihad Islami group which left the Gaza Strip for Sinai on Aug. 24 to strike. The terrorists now hold the initiative thereby sapping the IDF's deterrent strength.


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Assad may opt for war to escape Russian, Arab, European ultimatums 
DEBKAfile Special Report
August 30, 2011, 9:32 AM (GMT+02:00)
Tags:  Bashar Assad   Syria   Russia  European Union   GCC   Iran 
Qatari emir gives Iranian president a piece of his mind


Monday night and Tuesday, Aug-29-30, three international heavyweights - Russia, the European Union and  key Muslim nations – gave Syrian President Bashar Assad tough ultimatums for ending his barbaric crackdown on protest. Nevertheless, on Monday, his troops shot dead 17 people in Syrian cities - even as he received Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Mikhail Bogdanov who arrived in Damascus with a last warning from President Dmitry Medvedev. Pushed into a tight corner, Assad may opt for war on his neighbors.


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A terror attack every two days shows Israel's military restraint to be bankrupt 
DEBKAfile Exclusive Analysis
August 29, 2011, 12:30 PM (GMT+02:00)
Tel Aviv taxi wielded for terror


The policy of military restraint pursued by Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu and Defense Minister Ehud Barak was shown in the Tel Aviv attack by a Palestinian terrorist yelling Allah Akhbar Monday, Aug. 29, to have crossed a dangerous red line: Civilians are being left in harm's way to serve diplomatic interests such as not further straining relations with the new rulers in Cairo. An Israeli defense official has admitted that Iran fears American – not Israeli – military strength, thereby confessing to Israel's loss of deterrence. 


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Palestinian terror attack in Tel Aviv injures eight 
DEBKAfile Special Report
August 29, 2011, 5:31 AM (GMT+02:00)
Tags:  Terror   Tel Aviv   West Bank 


Eight people were injured in South Tel Aviv early Monday, Aug. 29, when a Palestinian from the West Bank town of Nablus grabbed a taxi, ran over pedestrians, jumped out outside a night club and stabbed four Border Police officers, two seriously, at a checkpoint. He shouted Allah Akhbar and verses from the Koran throughout the attack .  Several hundred teen agers were milling in and out of the Hauman 17 club in South Tel Aviv for a back-to-school party. The assailant was captured after a struggle.


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Pro-Al Qaeda brigades control Qaddafi Tripoli strongholds seized by rebels
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report
August 28, 2011, 11:47 AM (GMT+02:00)
Tags:  Libya   Muammar Qaddafi   Al Qaeda   Tripoli   NATO   NTC 
Abd Al-Hakim Belhadj, pro-Al Qaeda LIFG chief


Members of the Al Qaeda-linked Libyan Islamic Fighting Group – LIFG, are in control of the former strongholds of Muammar Qaddafi captured by Libyan rebels last Sunday, Aug. 21,DEBKAfile reports from Libyan sources. Their chief Abd Al-Hakim Belhadj, an al Qaeda veteran from Afghanistan, now calls himself "Commander of the Tripoli Military Council." A US source confirms that NATO's British and French special forces opened Tripoli's door to the rebels. Now, the LIFG is unlikely to relinquish power to the NTC.


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Iran stirs up new conflict: Its Iraqi terrorist arm shoots Scuds at Kuwait
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report
August 26, 2011, 9:52 AM (GMT+02:00)
Tags:  Kuwait   Iraqi Hizballah   Iran  Iraq 
Kuwait's Grand Mubarak Port under construction


Three Scud missiles flying from Iraq to Kuwait early Friday, Aug. 26 were launched by the Iran-backed Ketaeb Hizballah of Iraq. They exploded harmlessly, but DEBKAfile's sources report that the first such attack since the US 2003 invasion of Iraq carried a warning to Kuwait: Halt construction of the Grand Mubarak Port opposite the Iraqi shore - or else face a destructive barrage. It was also the first time any Middle East terrorist group had used Scud missiles.


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IDF: Egyptian frontier on peak alert, no longer a border of peace
DEBKAfile Special Report
August 24, 2011, 10:17 PM (GMT+02:00)
Tags:  Israel   Egypt   Palestinian Jihad Islami   Terror   missile attacks   Sinai 
Israel's frontier with Egypt - once a peace border


Israeli units on the Egyptian frontier went on peak alert Wednesday night, Aug. 24, following specific intelligence that Palestinian Jihad Islami was set to launch another cross-border attack from Sinai. Earlier Wednesday, Gen. Benny Gantz, Chief of Staff announced that Israel's Defense Forces were no longer treating the Egyptian frontier as a border of peace because of new threats. The new situation was exemplified by the terrorist attacks Palestinian gunmen launched from Egyptian Sinai on Aug. 8 killing eight Israeli civilians and injuring forty.


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DEBKA-Net-Weekly    A sampling from past issues
The Potential for War Ripping through the Mid East
DEBKA-Net-Weekly  #505
August 19, 2011
Tags:  Bashar Assad   Syria   Hillary Clinton  Iran   Turkey   Saudi Arabia   NATO 


After ruling out direct military intervention, most governments concerned in the drive to oust Bashar Assad find that arming the rebels and pumping thousands of Sunni volunteers into Syria are the only feasible option.  But before this plan is up and running, he is expected to preemptively employ the Lebanese Shiite Hizballah for heating up the Lebanese-Israel border or even spark an all-out conflagration between the two long-time foes which ...

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Saudi Abdullah and Obama are talking
DEBKA-Net-Weekly  #505
August 19, 2011
Saudi King Abdullah and Turkish President Abdullah Gul


Saudi Arabia, which embarked on building a strategic Sunni Muslim bloc six months ago, has done a lot better in a shorter time than even king Abdullah's strategic and intelligence advisers predicted. Harnessing Turkey, a major military power and NATO member, to their grouping is an unforeseen windfall.   By jumping aboard the Saudi grouping Turkey opened the door to rapprochement between King Abdullah and President Obama. They talked last week for the first time in months ...

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Asif Shawqat Rises from a Double Purge
DEBKA-Net-Weekly  #504
August 12, 2011
Tags:  Syria   Bashar Assad   Asif Shawqat 
Ali Habib


The House of Assad has seized all-inclusive control of the ferocious assault on the opposition by getting rid of one general, defense minister Ali Habib, promoting another, chief of staff Dawoud Rajha, in his place, and so removing all the obstacles in the path of the president's brother-in-law Deputy Army chief Asif Shawqat for taking complete charge of the war on whole Syrian cities in the name of the ruling family.


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US defuses Egyptian-Israeli crisis: Egypt may post troops in E. Sinai
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report
August 21, 2011, 12:53 AM (GMT+02:00)
Tags:  Egypt   Israel   Sinai   Palestinian terror   Camp David Peace Treaty   US 
Field Marshall Muhammad Tantawi sought revision of Camp David accords


Intense diplomatic efforts by Washington Saturday, Aug. 20, have produced a compromise for resolving the Egyptian-Israeli crisis - moments before their 1979 peace accord was overturned. Cairo agreed not to recall the Egyptian ambassador from Israel, whereas the Israeli Defense Minister Ehud Barak apologized publicly for the deaths of three Egyptian policemen.  DEBKAfile discloses: Israeli also agreed to renegotiate the treaty's Sinai demilitarization clause banning an Egyptian troop presence.


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At least 7 Israelis killed, 33 injured in terrorist attacks near Eilat 
DEBKAfile Special Report
August 18, 2011, 4:47 PM (GMT+02:00)
Tags:  Terror   Eilat   Al Qaeda   Sinai Bedouin   Egypt 
Israel bus attacked near Eilat


Israel goes on highest terror alert after a string of terrorist attacks still ongoing near the Israeli-Egyptian border north of Eilat Thursday, Aug. 18 left seven Israeli soldiers and civilians dead and 33 injured. Five servicemen are in critical condition. Assailants from Sinai used automatic and anti-tank weapons, mortars and roadside bombs for attacks on two buses and civilian and military vehicles on Highway 12. All three gunmen who attacked the bus were located and killed in a firefight with Israeli police. More are sought.


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Israel sets up "September Commands" though no intel on Palestinian disorders
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report
August 12, 2011, 12:56 PM (GMT+02:00)
Tags:  Israel   Palestinians   UN  Intelligence   West Bank 
Chief of Staff Lt. Gen. Benny Gantz


Israel's military, police and Shin Bet security service are drilling extreme scenarios of possible Palestinian disturbances, mass rallies or even terrorist attacks in September – although there is no specific intelligence of a security threat in the offing. The authorities have also set up "September Command Centers" so as not to be caught off guard. The intelligence updates fed them on Palestinian activities contain no signs so far of organized Palestinian preparations for disorders beyond some talk at local Fatah cell level.


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Iran's new Hamas commando brigade in Gaza
DEBKAfile Exclusive Report
July 31, 2011, 9:04 AM (GMT+02:00)
Tags:  Hamas   Gaza   IRGC's Al Qods  Israel 
Hamas' first commando unit set up by Iran


A team of Iranian Revolutionary Guards (IRGC) officers has just finished setting up Hamas' first commando unit especially trained to combat any Israel military force entering the Gaza Strip, DEBKAfile's military sources report. The new "Al Qods Brigades" unit of 400 men is to be the first of three. The urban guerrilla tactics imparted to Hamas drew heavily on the experience Al Qods is gaining in Syria, where its experts help President Bashar Assad crack down on protest.


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